Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.082455 0.097848 0.115104 0.135854 0.160096 0.187492 0.220767
2025-03-02 0.056640 0.075734 0.099596 0.131478 0.172816 0.224450 0.293663
2025-03-09 0.043376 0.063715 0.091386 0.131499 0.187826 0.263715 0.373239
2025-03-16 0.034151 0.054315 0.083773 0.129480 0.198028 0.296283 0.446854
2025-03-23 0.028894 0.049223 0.080803 0.132730 0.215074 0.339421 0.539779
2025-03-30 0.024018 0.043588 0.075749 0.131501 0.224485 0.371634 0.619610
2025-04-06 0.019901 0.038322 0.070220 0.128293 0.229754 0.397354 0.691574
2025-04-13 0.016477 0.033562 0.064650 0.123913 0.232049 0.417938 0.756843
2025-04-20 0.014619 0.031333 0.063137 0.126326 0.246182 0.459656 0.862107
2025-04-27 0.012892 0.029022 0.061055 0.127262 0.257557 0.497531 0.964446
2025-05-04 0.011403 0.026907 0.058989 0.127839 0.268156 0.534907 1.069577
2025-05-11 0.010244 0.025281 0.057633 0.129573 0.281091 0.577813 1.189291
2025-05-18 0.009464 0.024404 0.057784 0.134614 0.301647 0.638218 1.350512
2025-05-25 0.008093 0.021877 0.053955 0.130559 0.302828 0.660622 1.439442
2025-06-01 0.007202 0.020348 0.052121 0.130639 0.312818 0.701890 1.570960
2025-06-08 0.006310 0.018634 0.049566 0.128645 0.317882 0.733282 1.685005
2025-06-15 0.005819 0.017888 0.049237 0.131877 0.335214 0.792698 1.864906
2025-06-22 0.005167 0.016560 0.047223 0.130656 0.341895 0.829309 1.998483
2025-06-29 0.004514 0.015092 0.044596 0.127468 0.343374 0.854260 2.108344
2025-07-06 0.003903 0.013617 0.041697 0.123115 0.341355 0.870816 2.200503
2025-07-13 0.003612 0.013080 0.041323 0.125512 0.356837 0.930327 2.399314
2025-07-20 0.003301 0.012414 0.040466 0.126443 0.368594 0.982013 2.584425
2025-07-27 0.003012 0.011758 0.039533 0.127016 0.379463 1.032600 2.771780